In a quarter, the France lost both jobs than on the previous twelve months. According to provisional statistics published Friday by the Department of employment, 138.000 positions were removed between January and March 2009 against 141.100 throughout 2008. From the fourth quarter of last year, the declining enrolment is 0.9, and over a year, it is 2. The never-seen. A 15.751.400, the number of jobs employees known as "primary market" covering companies of all sizes and all activities (excluding agriculture, administration, education, health and social action) returned to its level of December 2006.
Qualitative developments in the first quarter are very disturbing. After having seen its workforce fall end of 2008, construction has remained stable in the first quarter of 2009. But, between January and March, the decline of the industrial workforce has accelerated, despite the measures for the partial unemployment entered into force in January. She received this time around 45,000 positions, or 1.2 from the previous three months and 2.9 over a year. The decrease in the interim, she continued. In this sector, the numbers returned to 438.900 jobs, is a loss of approximately 230,000 from the historic high in 2007, when had been identified around 670,000 jobs. Twelve months, the interim job loss is of 224.200 (33.8) and three months, it is of 77.800 (15.1), equivalent to that of the previous quarter figure.
Adds a new fact to this: in contrast to the previous quarter, if the tertiary is in red, this is only due to the acting. Is it remains slightly positive change on one year ( 7.600 positions), service, temporary work sector, has seen its workforce fall 16.100 from the last quarter of 2008.
Bode
Clearly, the crisis started by focusing on the most flexible part of the job, now extends to open-ended contracts. This finding is corroborated by the progression of the reasons of economic dismissal in entries at pole employment since the beginning of the year. This is all the more ominous that employment reacts, usually with a delay of three to six months to the developments of the growth. The figures published by the Department of employment are therefore not in relation to very poor performance of the beginning of 2009 (read above). They are even below the forecast in last memo on the economy of the Insee, which expected 200,000 deletions of posts on the first half of 2009. But the Institute also assumed on a beginning of deceleration of the salaried workforce from April cuts, which seems unlikely given the decline of 1.2 of GDP between January and March.
The Office of the Unedic, convened on 26 May, should record the scenario of an exceptional rise in unemployment this year. The former Director General of the unemployment insurance scheme, Jean-Pierre Revoil, 0 point of growth, it destroyed 200,000 jobs and 200,000 yet for any point of negative growth. The building on a decrease of 3.4 GDP, the number of additional unemployed would reach 900,000. Because, "as currently the demographic curve is flat the retirements match entries in the market of work , loss of employment is equivalent to the growth of unemployment", he explains.
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