Hence the theme of protective President that he developed these days

Nicolas Sarkozy who receives François Bayrou, the enemy of yesterday, for the second time in two months and that makes information, this owes nothing to chance. On the eve of the Congress of the new Centre, the head of State is everything to avoid that a candidate from the majority family Vienna take him to the presidential election of 2012. To reduce the already thin space of Hervé Morin, the President of the new Centre (partner of the UMP), Nicolas Sarkozy tent back air to François Bayrou, to the worse since regional elections (enough, apparently for fear of not being able to get only 500 signatures of sponsorship for the presidential election). That Christine Boutin makes similarly on the "social" right, he assigned a mission paid on globalization. He hopes finally lead Jean-Louis Borloo to renounce his own ambitions, his Minister of ecology as it also attempted to enter the presidential race to retrieve the fringe of the centrist electorate dormant for three years.

The dynamics of the first round

The calculation is not without argument. Two-round election system has always led the majority parties to accept, or even to create secondary candidates alongside them to "comb" voices for the second round. But Nicolas Sarkozy does not forget that it is the excess of secondary candidates left that lose Lionel Jospin in 2002. The head of State has another schema in mind and opposed to the need for reserves of votes in the second round the theory of the dynamics of the first round. Based on the precedent of 2007, Nicolas Sarkozy believes indeed that important for a candidate is sufficiently in mind from the evening of the first round to create a ripple effect that allows him to win in fine. This strategy failed at the last regional election, the Elysee argued that presidential Alchemy is of a different order and maintains its original reasoning.

Even wake up thus François Bayrou, who, in any event, make everything to be candidate for the presidential election of 2012. The President of the Modem has lost his gamble of an explosion of the PS, which he hoped to collect the pieces: Nicolas Sarkozy, who will visit on 22 June in the electoral district of the centrist leader, attempts to restore a political existence of the repositioning the Centre, even if the person concerned that he is not fooled by the manoeuvre.

Appear Bayrou-compatible

The head of State asked the UMP leaders to stop their attacks. Himself tries at the same time to refocus, or less to go Bayrou-compatible. In normalizing their relations, but also by attempting to soften his image and to go on expensive land to Centrists. Hence the theme of "protective President" that he developed these days. Where the work on the middle classes assigned to Laurent Wauquiez, Secretary of State for employment. If it is not the majority against him candidate, Nicolas Sarkozy knows that he cannot simply in 2012 to try to regain the popular classes (by intervening on security, including), which in part had his election in 2007. The centrists too will be decisive.